Today's interesting charts
David Fuller's view Price
charts signal changes in investment decisions which alter money flows.
New
Zealand remains a strong stock market
with an extremely consistent uptrend since last July, and it still yields 4.65%.
The country's financial sector index
is even stronger and these are backed by a firm
currency, shown here against the US dollar. However, the stock market indices
are overextended relative to their 200-day moving averages and a clear downward
dynamic on these first two charts would indicate the onset of a temporary reaction
and consolidation.
Japan's
Nikkei 225 (weekly & daily),
Topix and TSE2
have all reaffirmed their uptrends this week. Breaks in the progressions of
higher reaction lows, best seen on the daily charts, will be required to indicate
more than a brief pause and consolidation within these strong uptrends which
commenced in mid-November.
Singapore
(weekly & daily)
had a strong day yesterday and pushed up out of its recent consolidation range
today, while also breaking above the November 2010 high. A close beneath 3260
would be required to indicate an upside failure.
Australia's
ASX200 Index (weekly & daily)
has been consolidating earlier gains on either side of the psychological 5000
level, reducing its earlier overextension relative to the 200-day MA in the
process. A close beneath 4880 would be required to indicate a deeper correction
before this bull market moves higher. This move continues to be led by Australia's
Financial Index.
Europe's
STOXX 50 Index (weekly & daily)
has rallied sharply within this year's trading range, following a downside failure
last week. The Euro STOXX Bank Index (weekly
& daily) did not reach a new reaction
low last week although it has underperformed since the late January high. This
week's action is encouraging and both Indices would have to close beneath this
month's earlier lows to offset recovery scope.
Gold,
silver and platinum
had good upside moves today. We will not know if this month's lows will hold
until we see the first clear reaction following the current rally. However,
a higher reaction low is possible because this rally was preceded by a climactic
sell off. Meanwhile, closes beneath today's lows will be required to indicate
that the recovery is faltering. Palladium
had a smaller rally today but has shown comparative relative strength during
the overall decline.
The NYSE
Arca Gold Bugs Index (weekly & daily)
also had a climactic sell off after a lengthy decline and is very overextended
relative to its MA. A new closing low would be required to offset current scope
for at least a further technical rally.