Today's Interesting Charts
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upper-right.
Australia
(AS51) - recorded an upside key
day reversal after testing its May reaction low today. Consequently a close
beneath 4180 is now required to offset current scope for a technical rally and
instead, reaffirm the downtrend. While support from the former base
should cushion downside risk in the latter event, an eventual push back above
the June high near 4620 is the minimum required to signal that demand has regain
the upper-hand beyond a temporary bounce.
Japan
(Nikkei 225) - also registered an upside key
day reversal today near lateral trading in the 9000 region. This indicates
scope for some additional near-term recovery but a close above the June high
near 10,260 would be required to reaffirm underlying support
and negate the downward bias since April.
Thailand
(SET) - has shown impressive relative
strength during the global stock market correction to date. A close beneath
785 would now be required to check the upward bias and reaffirm resistance near
the April high.
Indonesia
(JCI) - has paused just
beneath its April-May highs and the psychological 3000 level. A sustained break
above that level would reaffirm the overall upward bias.
Philippines
(PCOMP) - continues to range
with a slight upward bias and a close beneath 3220 would be required to reaffirm
resistance near the upper boundary and scope for an additional reaction.
India
(Sensex) - tested its April high before drifting
slightly lower during Wall Street's renewed correction. A break in the gradual
progression of higher reaction lows evident since October is required to turn
this into a probable top area rather than a slow build-up of support before
a resumption of the overall upward trend.
India's Bombay Banks Index (weekly
& daily) remains a relative outperformer.
Conclusion
- This relative strength against the background of both Wall Street's
and China's recent stock market weakness is remarkable and also matched by some
of South America's stock markets. I think it would be premature to assume that
the pipedream of decoupling had finally arrived for global stock markets but
it is probably a good indication as to what will lead in the next significant
upturn for equities.