Trichet Calls for Single Euro Finance Ministry as Crisis Deepens
While any single finance ministry would "not necessarily" administer "a large federal budget," it would "exert direct responsibilities in at least three domains," said Trichet, whose eight-year term ends in October.
They would include "first, the surveillance of both fiscal policies and competitiveness policies" and "direct responsibilities" for countries in fiscal distress, he said.
Ministry Functions
It would also carry out "all the typical responsibilities of the executive branches as regards the union's integrated financial sector, so as to accompany the full integration of financial services, and third, the representation of the union confederation in international financial institutions."
Eoin Treacy's view The
Euro has been called a Frankenstein currency by skeptics because it has elements
of a currency union in monetary affairs which are inadequately counter balanced
with a wide degree of latitude in fiscal affairs for constituent countries.
This has changed somewhat as the peripheral debt crisis has thrown into sharp
relief the failure of an "honour system" with regard to fiscal rectitude.
However, the areas of taxes, spending, borrowing etc. remain as thorny as ever
particularly for those who value national sovereignty.
The absence
of a central fiscal authority is the Euro's greatest Achilles heel and is where
voter and investor concern is most acute. The agonizing over funding a bailout
mechanism for Greece, Ireland and Portugal would be inconsequential if the EU
had the power to levy taxes on a regional basis. Mr. Trichet is now only a few
months from retirement so it costs him little to point out the glaringly obvious,
but politically unpalatable truth, that a currency union without central fiscal
authority is an unsatisfactory structure.
The current
solution is to attempt to tread a middle ground where the member states agree
to band together to bail out debtor nations and creditor banks in return for
strict compliance with cost cutting and revenue raising targets. Given the levels
of debt concerned, creditors can no more afford the repercussions of a default
than debtors. This suggests that politicians have little choice but to continue
to agree bailouts while also gaining concessions that can be sold to recalcitrant
voters.
The Euro
Trade Weighted Index has been ranging with an upward bias for much of the
last year. It pulled back sharply from early May but found at least short-term
support this week. The volatile nature of the range is likely to remain a feature
as concerns over the Euro's debt issues ebb and flow relative to the USA's.
Against
the Swiss
France the Euro remains in a medium-term downtrend. Prior to this week,
where it has been relatively steady, the currency fell for the previous five
consecutive weeks. It is now oversold relative to the 200-day MA and has stabilized
near the psychological CHF1.20. The SNB will not be particularly happy with
the strength of the Franc and its overextension relative to the MA raises the
potential for at least a short-term relief rally in favour of the Euro.