What next for the US Dollar?
Eoin Treacy's view Most investors are focused on the risk attached to the Eurozone following the
Spanish application for €100 billion in bank aid, Greece's overtures to
its lenders for more time and Cyprus' application for aid.
The
Euro remains on a downward trajectory
versus the Dollar and a sustained move above $1.35 would be required to question
the consistency of the almost yearlong downtrend.
While
media focus has been on the Euro's weakness, the strength of the Dollar against
a wide basket of currencies is equally notable. The Dollar rallied impressively
until the beginning of the month and spent the last few weeks unwinding the
short-term overbought condition. It returned to the first area of potential
support against the Canadian Dollar, Australian
Dollar, New Zealand Dollar, Japanese
Yen, Chilean Peso, Colombian
Peso, Peruvian Sol, Philippine
Peso, Singapore Dollar, South
Korean Won, Taiwan Dollar, Thai
Baht, Hungarian Forint, Israeli
Shekel, Turkish Lira, Norwegian
Krone, Polish Zloty, Swedish
Krona, South African Rand and has
found at least short-term support. A sustained move below its recent lows would
be required to check current scope for some further strength. The dollar is
extending its uptrend against the Indian Rupee,
Brazilian Real, Mexican
Peso and Indonesian Rupiah.