World Equity Index Valuations Tables
Eoin Treacy's view Here is
the monthly list
of 99 global indices ranked in descending order by dividend yields, then in
ascending order by P/E, Price / Book and Price / Cash Flow.
The events
of the last six weeks have resulted in contractions for historic P/Es as the
price component fell relative to reported earnings. If fears of a global slowdown
are credible then earnings for the next few quarters are likely to be less impressive
and P/E ratios should rise.
Yields
have also risen as prices have fallen. Dividends are likely to be more secure
among companies leveraged to the growth of the global middle class rather than
those with a particular focus on Europe or the USA.
Price/Book
ratios have also fallen back to more attractive levels. A total of 15 indices
in the above table trade at a value of less than 1. Some of the more noteworthy
are the FTSE AIM Index (0.5), the Italian S&P/MIB (0.6) and the Austrian
ATX (0.9).
The AIM
Index encountered medium-term resistance below the psychological 1000 level
in January. It has posted a progression of lower rally highs since and accelerated
lower in early August. Prices have stabilised over the last month above 700
but will need to hold above 733 to indicate demand is beginning to return to
short-term dominance. A sustained move above 880 would be required to indicate
medium-term demand dominance.
The Italian
S&P/MIB Index is performing more or
less in line with the Euro STOXX Banks Index and retested its August low today.
A sustained move above 16,000 is the minimum requirement to suggest demand is
returning to dominance.
The Austrian
ATX completed a medium-term Type-3 top
in July and broke sharply lower in line with global stock markets. It has posted
a higher low and a higher high since early August but will need to hold above
the 2050 if the short-term demand dominated environment is to be sustained.
(Please
note: All data quoted above originates in Bloomberg. We realise that some of
the data displayed is inaccurate for some indices, particularly where ADRs are
included. However, I have endeavoured to remove those indices which were most
problematic. We continue to publish these tables because the data is generally
accurate and going forward we will continue to weed-out the less reliable data
sets as subscribers highlight them for us. The P/Es quoted by Bloomberg are
exclusively based on operating earnings.)