September 2023
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29-09-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h17mins Back to top |
28-09-2023 |
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Dollar eases which lends support to both stocks and bonds, higher real rates continue to pressure gold but other precious metals steady, oil eases back from recent high. German Bund yields break out and preipheral spreads rising, crypto steadies. |
24:28mins Back to top |
27-09-2023 |
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Dollar rally catches up with gold, stocks steady, Treasury yields extend breakout, oil breaks out. |
26:18mins Back to top |
26-09-2023 |
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Dollar rally reflects a rush to cash, Treasury yields extend breakout, Nasdaq-100 new reaction low, oil prices remain firm, China property developers new low, |
27:01MINS Back to top |
25-09-2023 |
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Bond yields breaking higher, rates support the US Dollar, oil mixed, EU gas firms, China property developers breaking lower, greater evidence of liquidity tightening |
25mins Back to top |
22-09-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h7mins Back to top |
21-09-2023 |
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Aftermath of the Fed hawkish pause is lower stocks, higher yields, greater uncertainty, China weak, Dollar pauses, gold steady, oil eases, Yen approaching potential near-term support important for carry trades. |
30:32mins Back to top |
20-09-2023 |
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Fed pauses but yields hit new highs and stocks roll over, banks under pressure, UK Gilts peaking, FTSE-100 firms on rollback of net zero, China introduces new local government loans but stocks unmoved, dollar firms, gold reverses early strength, oil slides. |
27:27mins Back to top |
19-09-2023 |
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commonality in government bonds yields, stocks pause ahead of the Fed, oil overbought, China property stocks make new lows, commodity related markets under pressure. |
23:34mins Back to top |
18-09-2023 |
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ECB in the predictation game versus Fed wait and see Bunds, DAX, crude oil extends advance, cocoa pauses, China quiet, Baltic Dry Goods bottoming. |
22:05mins Back to top |
16-09-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h7mins Back to top |
14-09-2023 |
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Triple witching tomorrow, stocks firm, Euro weak, oil extends rebound, banks globally firm, agriculture extends bull trend, soft, no or hard landing discussion. |
27:56 Back to top |
13-09-2023 |
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ARM IPO, Apple eases, bonds steady, heating oil and gasoline push higher, India firm, Mexico mixed, Japanese banks break higher, uranium breaking out. |
29:15mins Back to top |
12-09-2023 |
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Apple product launch falls flat, Dollar steady, oil surges, natural gas stable, CPI tomorrow could influenced by energy, UK Gilt yields look toppy. |
29:02mins Back to top |
08-09-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h8mins Back to top |
07-09-2023 |
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Apple drops but firms in late trading, Chinese stocks and bonds falling together and Renminbi breaks lower, India firms, commodity currencies under pressure, growth shares display interest rate sensitivity, |
29:03mins Back to top |
06-09-2023 |
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Dollar strength carries over to Asia, Apple pulls back on China risk, central bank total assets approaching potential support just as personal savings run out. oil prices continues to rise fuelling inflationary perceptions. |
28:44mins Back to top |
05-09-2023 |
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Japan relative strength and rearmament, Country Garden makes coupon payment, Dollar breaking out against a host of currencies, bonds yields extend advances but oil and soft commodities firm, gold and silver retreat. |
25:04mins Back to top |
04-09-2023 |
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China recovery gains more traction, uranium firms, oll steady, Indonesia firms, India steady, Europe soft, lithium prices attempting to find support. |
28:08mins Back to top |
01-09-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h1min Back to top |
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August 2023
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31-08-2023 |
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bitcoin weakness, oil's rebound, China still waiting for stimulus, interest rate dependent base formations, |
24:24mins Back to top |
30-08-2023 |
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Australia advances on improving China sentiment, Vietnam extends advance, stocks positive, bonds advance, dollar weak, commodities firm, particularly softs outside of the grains and beans. risk of stagflation. |
27:51mins Back to top |
29-08-2023 |
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bitcoin rebounds, silver leading gold higher, China stimulus chances improve, Australia, Europe could benefit, Dollar reverses, Treasury yields compress, Nasdaq-100 rebounds led by megacaps. |
30:58mins Back to top |
28-08-2023 |
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China jumps then reverses intraday to finish close to unchange. Sufficient stimulus to create demand looking more likely, Renminbi weaker, Dollar steady, gold and silver pause, Treasury yields ease mildly. |
22:23mins Back to top |
25-08-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h1min Back to top |
24-08-2023 |
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Nasdaq-100 downside key reversal, bond yields firm, dollar firm, precious metals pause, stock market futures point to weak opens in Asia and Europe. cotton firming within its base. |
23:23mins Back to top |
23-08-2023 |
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NVidia earnings surprise on the upside, Wall Street firms as bond yields compress with jobless data revised lower, A-Shares extend decline, Hong Kong steadies, India rebounds, Dollar eases most against emerging market currencies, gold and silver rebound. |
21:58mins Back to top |
22-08-2023 |
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global banks review, Japan and European financial outperforming, China, Singapore, Australian financials under pressure, US banks rolling over, stocks susceptible to further mean reversion and significant impact from tightening credit likely to be evident in Q3. |
22:24mins Back to top |
21-08-2023 |
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Tech shares find support ahead of NVidia earnings and Cybertruck deliveries, 10-year yields at new highs as China soverign bonds test lows, gold steadies on easier US dollar, high yield spreads remain contained which supports the stock market outlook even as the yield curve de-inverts. |
24:20mins Back to top |
18-08-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
53mins Back to top |
17-08-2023 |
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Bticoin breaks lower, gold holds decline, oil fails to hold rebound, Nasdaq-100 extends decline, China supports the Renminbi but not in a dynamic manner, risk-off fuelled by real yields hitting new highs, Treasuries are short-term oversold so some consolidation is likely but the trend is higher. yield curve beginning to trend higher. |
18:17mins Back to top |
16-08-2023 |
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real yields hit new recovery highs, gold and silver break lower, dollar firm, 10-year yields exceeed 4.25%, stock markets under pressure, oil unwinding short-term overbought, |
21:55mins Back to top |
15-08-2023 |
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China cuts rates and renminbi tests lows, miners and industrial commodities under pressure, UK wages surprise on the upside downward pressure on the stock market as BoE hikes priced in, Wall Street weakens further as retail sales suggest more scope for rate hikes. |
19:34mins Back to top |
14-08-2023 |
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China high yield continues to trend lower, Renminbi at an important area of potential support, oil steady, gold and dollar test their MAs, Nasdaq-100 firms on strong NVDA performance and speculation China will export deflation. Treasury yields continue to firm on issuance angst. |
19:34mins Back to top |
11-08-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
54:01mins Back to top |
10-08-2023 |
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30-year Treasury auction disappoints, yields rise, equities reverse early gains, dollar steadies, China property continues to disappoint, oil eases back. |
22:03mins Back to top |
09-08-2023 |
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Nasdaq-100 breaks short-term uptrend, oil extends rebound, bond yields steady ahead of CPI, Cjhina deflation, gold eases and dollar at potential resistance, |
20mins Back to top |
08-08-2023 |
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stocks ease back but close off lows. oil rebounds from intraday lows, gold steady, industrial metals weak, China weak, bonds steady, bitcoin eases following yesterday's surge. |
15:30mins Back to top |
07-08-2023 |
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Oil prices steady and chances of an embargo, stocks steady, biotech ETF lower but large caps breaking higher, Apple extends decline but Dow Industrials firms. Japan firms on weaker Yen. |
24:56mins Back to top |
04-08-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h5mins Back to top |
03-08-2023 |
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bond yield extend breakout, yield curve inversion tightening, high yield bonds and stocks testing their recent lows, dollar pauses, gold eases and oil rebounds. |
17:21mins Back to top |
02-08-2023 |
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US debt downgrade and positive employment weighs on bonds, stocks and boosts the dollar. Brazil surprises with a 0.50% rate cut and guidance for further moves,Japan, China, Europe all pullback in a broad risk off day. |
21:33mins Back to top |
01-08-2023 |
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Latin America beginning to cut rates, supports economies but weakens currencies, dollar firm, gold weak, copper pulls back on weak China property developers, oil steady, UK banks firm but property developers rolling over. |
20.36mins Back to top |
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July 2023
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31-07-2023 |
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JGB yield extend advance, China pauses, Vietnam firms, Euro STOXX 50 breaking higher, Nasdaq-100 pauses, precious metals and oil firm even in a steady dollar environment, uranium improving. |
23:23mins Back to top |
29-07-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h7mins Back to top |
27-07-2023 |
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US GDP surprises on the upside and PCE inflation declines more than expected. Wall reverses early enthusiasm, bond yields surge, dollar firm, oil strong, gold weak. China continues to rebound. |
23:26mins Back to top |
26-07-2023 |
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Fed hikes by 0.25% and the market pauses, oil eases dollar weak, yields steady, no follow through on China's rebound yet, clearer evidence of changing consumer spending habits. |
21:10mins Back to top |
25-07-2023 |
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Wall Street steady ahead of Fed decision, China rebounds on government support speculation, India hits new high, oil extends rebound, grains pause, gold quiet, |
28:45mins Back to top |
24-07-2023 |
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China stimulus promise falls flat, Japan firms, India eases, Wall Street firm, bitcoin breaks lower, gold steady, oil firm, grains breaking out. |
21:12mins Back to top |
21-07-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
55:23mins Back to top |
20-07-2023 |
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Nasdaq-100 pulls back on reweighting and option expiry, megacap negative RSI divergences, bond yields rally, gold weak, Dollar steady, oil firms, India new high and China close to breaking lower. |
23:13mins Back to top |
19-07-2023 |
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Global stock markets extend rebounds on belief in a soft landing and interest rate hiking peak, Sri Lanka, Turkey, Greece, Pakistan rebounding on improving perception of debt management, dollar steadies, gold and oil ease, soft commodities firm, Wall Street extends rebound but doubts emerging around AI engagement. |
25:54mins Back to top |
17-07-2023 |
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China slow down hits copper and oil, luxury goods stocks overbought, Europe eases, Wall Street steady, gold and dollar quiet, Brazil economic weakness foreshadowing slowdowns elsewhere. |
19:56mins Back to top |
14-07-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
41:53mins Back to top |
13-07-2023 |
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stocks rebound on end of tightening monetary policy enthusaism, dollar extends breakdown, copper and oil firm, gold steady, emerging markets rebounding. interest rate sensitive portions of the market firming within base formations. |
16:29mins Back to top |
12-07-2023 |
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CPI falls to 3%, gold and 2-year bonds rebound, stocks gap higher, Dollar makes new reaction low, Europe stocks firm, China quiet, India pausing, Middle East firm and oil holds the new two-month high. |
23:38mins Back to top |
11-07-2023 |
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China stimulus announcements underwhelm, India extends breakout and Rupee firms, Australia steadies, defense sector firming, crypto stocks completing base formations, gold steady ahead of CPI, Pound extends rebound. |
23:13mins Back to top |
10-07-2023 |
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gold stable as dollar eases but real rates breakout, bitcoin firms from $30,000, Nasdaq-100 stable amid reweighting, China deflation risk, Vietnam firm. |
23:11mins Back to top |
07-07-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h5mins Back to top |
06-07-2023 |
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Jobs gains spur Treasury sell off, stocks pare early decline, gold stable, oil firms, China and Europe weak, India extends breakout to new highs. |
17:52mins Back to top |
06-07-2023 |
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Treasury yields advance on Fed Minutes and probability of a July hike, gold falls, oil firm, Wall Street steady, Europe eases, India new all time high, China stock market and Renminbi both fall |
23:57mins Back to top |
04-07-2023 |
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free speech under attack by compliance officers in the UK, banks firming globally, Topix Banks new high, gold and oil steady. |
12mins Back to top |
03-07-2023 |
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value stocks and sectors staging a recovery, oil weak, bitcoin firm, capital trends towards consolidation and eventually foments antitrust. |
16:44mins Back to top |
01-07-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
58:10mins Back to top |
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June 2023
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30-06-2023 |
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discussion of inflation causes and which what the experience of different countries tells us. |
20:21mins Back to top |
28-06-2023 |
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FANGMANT at new high relative to the total market, oil steadies at the lower side of the range, dollar stable, bond yields compress, broad stock market firms globally. |
22:31mins Back to top |
27-06-2023 |
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bitcoin steadies in a broad risk-on day, oil weak, gold eases, yen breaks lower, China steadies. |
20mins Back to top |
26-06-2023 |
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CEO shenanigans and tech very overbought, Renminbi weakens with Chinese stocks, Vietnam rebounds on easing policy, gold and oil steady on Russia news, bitcoin eases, |
23:28mins Back to top |
23-06-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
56mins Back to top |
22-06-2023 |
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UK yields up, stocks down and Pound eases, Australia weaker on contagion from China, oil and gold weak, dollar steady, Nasdaq-100 firm. |
22:26mins Back to top |
21-06-2023 |
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crypto resurgent, Wall Street pause, China stimulus underwhelming so far, Japanese yen weakness supports the nominal value of the stock market, UK homebuilders breaking lower amid jump in inflation, grain and bean prices continue to firm. |
28:29mins Back to top |
20-06-2023 |
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bitcoin surges on insitutional interest, gold and silver contract on positive real rates, stocks pause, China cuts rates but not enough to satisfy markets. airlines breaking higher, variability in performance of the shipping sector. |
21:51mins Back to top |
19-06-2023 |
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Gilt yields breaking out and UK market rolling over, agricultural commodities breaking higher, China at decision point for stimulus led recovery, Australia firms, Latin American currencies continue to post relative strength. |
21:07mins Back to top |
16-06-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h3mins Back to top |
15-06-2023 |
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levers of global liquidity improve with China stimulus, Stocks firm, Dollar weak, gold rebounds, oil firms |
19:11mins Back to top |
14-06-2023 |
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Fed pauses rates but sounds hawkish on further hikes, Wall Street pauses, Nigeria stocks surge, India new high, Japan extends advance, NVidia pushes above $1 trillion valuation, Pound firms. |
25:53mins Back to top |
13-06-2023 |
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China stimulus chances improving, Yen devalues further, Pound firming as Gilt yields hit new closing highs, Wall Street firm. |
26:41mins Back to top |
12-06-2023 |
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oil prices test lower side of the range on slower global growth, Nasdaq pops on the upside for the same reason. Treasury yields stable ahead of the Fed meeting. Japan extends breakout, Yen on the cusp of breaking lower against the Euro, gold stable, CNY approaching potential support. |
22:34mins Back to top |
09-06-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h6mins Back to top |
08-06-2023 |
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wildfires stoke interest in renewables, jobless figures breakout, bond yields compress and tech stocks steady, gold up on weak dollar. oil reverses loss on denial of negotiations with Iran. |
22:58mins Back to top |
07-06-2023 |
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how sticky is inflation, megacaps begin to unwind overbought condition, Russell 2000 rebounds, Treasury yield jump, gold pulls back and oil steady, Brazil and Mexico outperforming. |
26:47mins Back to top |
06-06-2023 |
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Ukrainian counter offensive, tech valaution expansion, China meagre supports, US banks rebound to unwind oversold condition. |
23:16mins Back to top |
05-06-2023 |
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oil prices ease following initial strength, bonds steady, dollar eases and gold rebounds, Apple downward dynamic following AR/VR product launch, natual gas steadying. |
25:58mins Back to top |
02-06-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
55:01mins Back to top |
01-06-2023 |
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gold extends rebound on weaker Dollar, yield curve inversion deepens, copper and uranium firm, Apple testing previous peak on potential new product enthusiasm, AI shares rebound from initial weakness. |
23:33mins Back to top |
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May 2023
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31-05-2023 |
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bond yields contract, China growth worries, AI surge eases, gold steady, oil tests lower side of the range, stocks ease globally, dollar fails to hold intraday strength. |
27:17mins Back to top |
30-05-2023 |
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oil prices breaking lower, China growth prospects in question, AI stocks overbought and at risk of reversion, gold rebounds on debt ceiling deal, Treasuries rebound on slowing growth. |
17:52mins Back to top |
26-05-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
54.24mins Back to top |
25-05-2023 |
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AI stocks surge on strong NVidia earnings, Auto shares break lower on weak XPeng sales, Rand breaks lower, yields climb ahead of debt ceiling impasse negotiation final days. |
19:20mins Back to top |
24-05-2023 |
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Wall Street eases on debt ceiling fears, bonds yield rise, gold and copper ease, oil firms, Uk inflation surprising on the upside, dividend aristocrats under pressure from yields. |
18:23mins Back to top |
23-05-2023 |
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Luxury puling back on weakening consumer demand. gold and oil steady, dollar firms, Wall Street and Treasuries weak, China breaking lower, India steady. |
25.44mins Back to top |
22-05-2023 |
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Japan breaking out, China quiet, speculation in the tech sector spreading beyond AI, gold eases, oil steady, bond yields continue to rebound. |
18:48mins Back to top |
19-05-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
57:51mins Back to top |
18-05-2023 |
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NVidia accelerating and AI stocks breaking out, bonds yields surge on issuance fears, Dollar firm, gold weak, Ex-US valuations attractive. China quiet, Japan breaking higher. |
20:35mins Back to top |
17-05-2023 |
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USA CDS peak, stocks firm, bonds decline, banks firm, Yen weakens which supports nominal Nikkei performance, gold eases but stable, oil steadies. |
17:41mins Back to top |
16-05-2023 |
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Megacaps continue to outperform, Chinese growth doubts, copper rolling over, dollar strengthens, gold eases back below $2000, Brazil new fiscal rule, high yield weak. |
26:15mins Back to top |
15-05-2023 |
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Japan firm, Thailand weak, China rebounds, India banks breaking out, UK banks firm, US breadth narrows, soft commodities continue to firm on weaker dollar and adverse weather conditions. |
17:51mins Back to top |
12-05-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
48:43mins Back to top |
10-05-2023 |
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Australia banks weak on fight monetary and fiscal policy, India, Mexico firm, Dollar eases, gold pauses, cloud computing bets strengthen amid narrow breadth. |
18:26mins Back to top |
09-05-2023 |
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AI related stocks continue rebound, precious metals firm, oil steadies, long lead time for EVs in planes and China controls supply chains, |
25:17mins Back to top |
08-05-2023 |
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bitcion pulls back on Binance woes, gold and oil steady, robusta coffee breaks out, sugar pausing, cocoa pressuring the upper side of a long-term range, China banks surge, platinum firms on South Africa electricity fears. |
20:09mins Back to top |
05-05-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
57:30mins Back to top |
04-05-2023 |
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Regional bank pain continues but short-term oversold, dollar steadies on ECB downshift, silver firm, stocks ease. |
27:12mins Back to top |
03-05-2023 |
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Fed lifts rates and possibly paused but not cuts soon. Treasury yields decline, stocks and dollar weak, gold firm, oil extends decline, AI discussion on technological acceleration versus the interest rate cycle. |
23:56mins Back to top |
02-05-2023 |
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AI winners and losers, techology versus interest rate cycles, oil and copper weak, Treasuries and gold firm, Wall Street pares losses in late trade but recession risks rising as banks break lower. |
28:57mins Back to top |
02-05-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
57:44mins Back to top |
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April 2023
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27-04-2023 |
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inflationary boom, lower growth, higher inflation and risk on. FANGMAN outperforming on narrowing breadth, gold stable, bitcoin surges, non-US markets breaking higher. |
25:34mins Back to top |
26-04-2023 |
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oil and copper extend drawdowns, gols stable, dollar weak, Wall Street weak as pressure mounts on the banking sector, HK steadies, ASX somewhat overbought, orange juice potentially peaking. |
21:55mins Back to top |
26-04-2023 |
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Regional banks break lower, Advance-Decline lower but tech stocks rally on strong Microsoft and Google earnings, China weak on removing stimulus |
20:21mins Back to top |
24-04-2023 |
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stocks ease, dollar and gold firm as dollar eases. China pulled back from 200-day MA. 10-yr Treasury contracts |
17:10mins Back to top |
22-04-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h3mins Back to top |
20-04-2023 |
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CATL new battery, copper and oil weaker, Tesla breaking lower, Indian rupee remains weak, efforts to contain inflation have been all carrot and no stick so far. that could easily change. |
18:48mins Back to top |
19-04-2023 |
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stocks steady, gold rebounds, bonds yields pause, dollar steady, oil and natural gas weak, semiconductors rolling over, auto margin compression. |
26:26mins Back to top |
18-04-2023 |
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US Regional Banks accelerate lower relative to big banks, 10-yr-3-mth continues to invert, precious metals steady, agricultural commodities extend breakouts, stocks short-term overbought. |
24:05mins Back to top |
17-04-2023 |
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China, Australia, Mexico extend rebounds, EAFE outperforming MSCI World, Dollar Indes strengthens, bonds yields firm, gold eases, bitcoin pulls back. |
22:59mins Back to top |
14-04-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
52.50mins Back to top |
13-04-2023 |
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necessary conditions for a bull market in gold, sequence of events inside a gold bull market, gold up, dollar weak, stocks steady, luxury goods overbought but still firm, copper steadies, bonds yields climb. |
24:46mins Back to top |
11-04-2023 |
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bitcoin breaks out with limited supply driving enthusiasm. gold steady, oil firms, bonds steady ahead of CPI but megacap tech eases, non-US assets benefit from a weaker dollar. |
21:28mins Back to top |
07-04-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
58:24mins Back to top |
05-04-2023 |
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bond yields compress but partially rebound towards the close, the 3-month yield still prices in potential for one more hike, stocks also partially rebound, dollar steady, gold and oil pause, soft commodities break higher stoking stagflation fears. |
35:09mins Back to top |
04-04-2023 |
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Job Openings trending down, Treasury yields compress, gold breaks out, silver breaks downtrend, dollar weak, stocks steady. oil hold yesterday's gain. |
21:28mins Back to top |
03-04-2023 |
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OPEC+ cuts supply, oil and coal jump, natural gas weak, quality outperforms growth, Dollar weak, gold firm, copper eases, non-US markets outperforming. |
20:10mins Back to top |
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March 2023
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31-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
49:43mins Back to top |
30-03-2023 |
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CMBS spreads rising, yield curve further inverts, stocks firm, bonds ease, dollar under pressure. |
18:05mins Back to top |
29-03-2023 |
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soft commodities breaking higher, dollar steadies, oil eases at first area of potential resistance, stocks firm, bonds ease. markets pricing in potential central banks will settle for a partial victory over inflation. |
28:57mins Back to top |
28-03-2023 |
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US dollar extends decline, oil rebounds, bitcoin holds breakout, bond yields steady, stocks ease, non-US markets fare better. |
24:56mins Back to top |
27-03-2023 |
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oil steadies, stocks eases into the close, yields rise, dollar weak |
22:35mins Back to top |
24-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h2mins Back to top |
23-03-2023 |
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banks break lower again, AI beneficiaries short-term overbought, gold firms, oil eases, bond yields contracting in preparation for a deflationary shock. |
12:36mins Back to top |
22-03-2023 |
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Fed raises rates and flags tightening credit as doing the job of tightening, gold firms, dollar declines, Nasdaq-100 downside key reversal, 2-year yield on cusp of breaking lower. |
22.10mins Back to top |
21-03-2023 |
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Fed meeting tomorrow. market expects this is the top of the hiking cycle and the return of easy monetary conditions can't be far away. With such a deep inverted yield curve and tightening lending standards I'm not so sure. oil rebounds, Tesla firms, dollar pauses, gold pulls back. |
21:49mins Back to top |
20-03-2023 |
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Bonds yields steady, banks rebound on open swap lines, dollar eases, stocks rebound, China bonds steady, stocks weak, gold steady, bitcoin pauses. |
21:51mins Back to top |
17-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h1min Back to top |
16-03-2023 |
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Semiconductor stocks rebounds sharply, bitcoin firms on the assumption liquidity is on the rise, dollar stable, oil firms. QT is generally followed by massive QE so how does that work with high inflation? |
28:07mins Back to top |
15-03-2023 |
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Credit Suisse accelerates lower, oil pares decline, natural gas weak, Wall Street steadies, Dollar, gold and yen firm suggest demand for safe havens is rising. |
20:06mins Back to top |
14-03-2023 |
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FANGMANT outperforming again on rate cut expectations, CPI ex-Food & Energy come in hot support rate hike expectations. oil breaks lower, gold steady, Banks pare rebounds, Japan banks drop hard. |
24.59mins Back to top |
13-03-2023 |
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US depositors now fully insured, 2-year yield drops sharply, Dollar weak, gold and silver strong, financials mixed. stocks steady but bank heavy indices lead on the downside. |
27:02mins Back to top |
10-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h2mins Back to top |
09-03-2023 |
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US money center banks rolling over. Tesla extends decline, dollar pauses, gold rebounds, emerging market outperformance ebbing, Yen firms, copper and ol ease, risk of a retracement of the October-March rally rising. |
25:06mins Back to top |
08-03-2023 |
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bonds yields stable, insurance companies and banks rolling over, soft commodities weak, oil and gold stable, dollar pauses, bitcoin softens. |
25mins Back to top |
07-03-2023 |
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financial conditions tightening again, 2-year yields at 5%, stocks ease, gold weak, dollar firm, cash and manageable debt likely to be deciding factor in survival for leveraged companies. |
21:36mins Back to top |
06-03-2023 |
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crude oil rebounds again from intraday low on speculation the Permian basin will peak in the next five years. Banks, high yields spreads and leveraged loans point to a benign outcome, inverted yields curve suggest recession is inevitable, the epicentre of risk is in frontier markets and commercial property. |
23:22mins Back to top |
03-03-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h2mins Back to top |
02-03-2023 |
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Advance-Decline Line tests MA, Tesla rolling over, Salesforce rebounds, Treasury yields continue to trend higher, Euro slightly weaker on rate differentials, China steady, PDD firm, gold pauses, oil firm. |
20:31mins Back to top |
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February 2023
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28-02-2023 |
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Quality stocks rolling over on competition with higher Treasury yields, copper, oil, gold rebound, natural gas extends rebound, carbon credits extend breakout. |
27:01mins Back to top |
27-02-2023 |
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are we still in a secular bull market or is inflation killing it. this looks more like an inflationary boom which is inevitably followed by an inflationary bust. stocks fail to hold rebounds, Germany bonds extend decline, Treasuries steady, China eases |
26:28mins Back to top |
24-02-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h1min Back to top |
23-02-2023 |
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AI stocks continue rebound but tech breadth narrowing, oil in a tight range, copper pulls back sharply, natural gas extends rebound. |
15:22mins Back to top |
22-02-2023 |
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oil and stock market at pivotal levels of potential support, dollar index at potential resistance. Global banks sectors outperform US, |
18:32mins Back to top |
21-02-2023 |
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bond yields jump on stronger EU and UK economic acitivity, tech stocks in both China and US retreat in tandem, natural gas accelerating lower, oil stedy, copper firm, Nasdaq & S&P500 testing their 200-day MAs. |
20:48mins Back to top |
17-02-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
50mins Back to top |
16-02-2023 |
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stocks ease back on strong PPI numbers, bond yields advance, oil eases, zero day options exacerbate intraday volatility, Tesla downside key reversal. commerical real estate is the epicentre of risk. |
19:14mins Back to top |
15-02-2023 |
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bitcoin extends rally, dollar firm, gold weak, oil steady, Wall Street steady, FTSE-100 new all-time high, weak Pound, China and Australia weak, India and Mexico firm. |
19:41mins Back to top |
14-02-2023 |
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bitcoin firms, inflation remains high, yields rise and stocks advance, oil rebounds from intraday lows, natural gas steadying, gold continues to unwind short-term overbought condition. |
19:49mins Back to top |
13-02-2023 |
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yield curve continues to invert, stocks higher on assumption inflation is falling, gold and dollar weaker, oil steady, |
16:17mins Back to top |
10-02-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
58mins Back to top |
09-02-2023 |
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bitcoin pulls back on higher bond yields, stocks waver, oil and copper stable. Frontier markets seeing pressure to improve standards of governance. |
22:07mins Back to top |
08-02-2023 |
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Japan inflation has not yet completed its base, China unwinding overbought, India steady, oil firm on backhanded support from President Biden, Turkey ETF as potential support, AI wobbles, gold still correcting. |
24:33mins Back to top |
07-02-2023 |
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correlation between bond yields and growth stocks cannot last indefinitely. AI stocks extend rebound, bond yields rise, oil firms, oil drillers breaking out. |
17:19mins Back to top |
06-02-2023 |
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geopolitical tensions weigh on stocks and further support inflationary pressures with bond yields popping on the upside. Dollar strong, gold eases, oil finds support at lower side of short-term range. |
22:26mins Back to top |
03-02-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h15mins Back to top |
02-02-2023 |
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tech stocks surge following Meta earnings but Amazon and Alphabet disappoint in after hours, dollar strengthens on ECB and BoE close to rate peaks, gold downside key reversal, oil eases, Australia's ASX overbought as it tests its peak. |
21:24mins Back to top |
01-02-2023 |
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Fed raises rates and calls peak inflation, stocks and bonds rebound, dollar down, gold jumps, bitcoin firm, growth outperforms value. Adani Enterprises crashing. China continues to rebound. |
17:32mins Back to top |
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January 2023
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30-01-2023 |
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China consumption disappoints, Wall Street pauses ahead of Fed, energy weak, gold pauses. |
20:43mins Back to top |
27-01-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
49:21mins Back to top |
26-01-2023 |
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Intel disappoints, Tesla discounting temporarily boosts demand, carbon credits and oil firm, European banks break higher, Hong Kong resumes trading with further gains, bonds yields steady, Australian dollar firm |
22:01mins Back to top |
25-01-2023 |
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near-term scope for rebound versus medium-term challenges, meanwhile emerging markets,gold and miners remain firm. |
20:49mins Back to top |
24-01-2023 |
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Australia extends rebound aided by the US Dollar's decline, Japan and Hong Kong also firm, India steady, Defense companies firm, significant single stock volatiltiy on the back of earnings, gold continues to firm. |
21:30 Back to top |
23-01-2023 |
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Risk-on gaining traction on Wall Street, bond yields and gold steady, oil pauses, bitcoin and fintech firm. |
19:59mins Back to top |
20-01-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
1h1min Back to top |
19-01-2023 |
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stocks weak, dollar hits news low so commodities steady, bonds yields likely to contracat over the balance of the year. |
18:26mins Back to top |
18-01-2023 |
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BoJ holds on to yield curve control fot a little longer, Yen reverses weakness, Nikkei unlikely to hold gains tomorrow, Wall Street rolls over as Treasuries rally, gold eases, oil reverses early strength in US trading, copper reverses early advance, several global markets are short-term overbought so at least some consolidation is likely. |
19:37mins Back to top |
17-01-2023 |
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Dollar steadies, S&P500 tests 200-day MA, oil firm, gold eases, bond yield steady 3.5%. Leveraged loans resurgent, China recovery remains intact. |
20:55mins Back to top |
16-01-2023 |
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VIX pops on the upside even though the US market is closed, short-term oversold Dollar means rebounds are at risk of consolidation, China rebound continues. |
19:30mins Back to top |
14-01-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
58:16mins Back to top |
12-01-2023 |
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inflation figures as expected weigh on Dollar, stocks and bonds rebound, gold and oil extend rebounds, non-US assets outperform. |
19:23mins Back to top |
11-01-2023 |
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bonds yields contract, stocks rebound, crude oil rebounds, Egypt pound floats. |
14:19mins Back to top |
10-01-2023 |
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stocks wobble on slightly higher yields, gold and oil steady, |
9mins Back to top |
09-01-2023 |
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China recovery continues, copper breaks out, bond yields compress, tech rebounds, dollar weak, brazil steady, |
21:38mins Back to top |
06-01-2023 |
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Big Picture Long-Term Audio for the various different asset classes |
54:18mins Back to top |
05-01-2023 |
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Nasdaq-100 extends decline led by cloud services, dollar steady, bonds yields fail to hold advance, gold eases and silver working on a downside weekly key reversal, China extends rebound and related markets benefit. Mexico testing the upper side of a seven-year base. |
16:10mins Back to top |
04-01-2023 |
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China recovery gathers pace, tourist sector basing, tech still under pressure, bond yield compressing and gold recovering, oil and copper weak. |
19:33mins Back to top |
03-01-2023 |
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China bounce led by autos, Nasdaq declines led by autos, Europe and UK bounce one lower energy prices, Dollar strong, gold holds half advance, bonds firm, |
29:55mins Back to top |
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